It had all the makings of a disaster movie: More than half a billion
people without power. Trains motionless on the tracks. Miners trapped
underground. Subway lines paralyzed. Traffic snarled in much of the national
capital.
On Tuesday,
India suffered the largest electrical blackout in history, affecting an area
encompassing about 670 million people, or roughly 10 percent of the world’s
population. Three of the country’s interconnected northern power grids
collapsed for several hours, as blackouts extended almost 2,000 miles, from
India’s eastern border with Myanmar to its western border with Pakistan.
For a
country considered a rising economic power, Blackout Tuesday — which came only
a day after another major power failure — was an embarrassing reminder of the
intractable problems still plaguing India: inadequate infrastructure, a
crippling power shortage and, many critics say, a yawning absence of
governmental action and leadership.
India’s
coalition government, already battered for its stewardship of a wobbling
economy, again found itself on the defensive, as top ministers could not
definitively explain what had caused the grid failure or why it had happened on
consecutive days.
Theories for
the extraordinarily extensive blackout across much of northern India included
excessive demands placed on the grid from certain regions, due in part to low
monsoon rains that forced farmers to pump more water to their fields, and the
less plausible possibility that large solar flares had set off a failure.
By Tuesday
evening, power had been restored in most regions, and many people in major
cities barely noticed the disruption, because localized blackouts are so common
that many businesses, hospitals, offices and middle-class homes are equipped
with backup diesel fuel generators.
But that did
not prevent people from being furious, especially after the government chose
Tuesday to announce a long-awaited cabinet reshuffle — in which the power minister
was promoted to take over the Home Affairs Ministry, one of the country’s most
important positions.
“This is a huge
failure,” said Prakash Javadekar, a spokesman for the opposition Bharatiya
Janata Party. “It is a management failure as well as a failure of policy. It is
policy paralysis in the power sector.”
For millions
of ordinary people, Tuesday brought frustration and anger; for some, there was
fear. As nighttime arrived, Kirti Shrivastava, 49, a housewife in the eastern
city of Patna, said power had not been restored in her neighborhood.
“There is no water,
no idea when electricity will return,” she said. “We are really tense. Even the
shops have now closed. Now we hope it is not an invitation to the criminals!”
Tuesday also
brought havoc to India’s railroad network, one of the busiest in the world.
Across the country, hundreds of trains were stalled on the tracks for hours
before service resumed. At the bustling New Delhi Railway Station, Jaswant
Kaur, 62, found herself stranded after a miserable day. Her initial train was
stopped by the power failure. By the time she reached New Delhi, her connecting
train was already gone.
“Now my pocket is
empty,” she said. “I am hungry. I am tired. The government is responsible.”
Sushil Kumar
Shinde, the power minister, who spoke to reporters in the afternoon, did not
specify what caused the grid breakdown but blamed several northern states for
consuming too much power from the national system.
“I have asked my
officers to penalize those states which are drawing more power than their
quota,” said Mr. Shinde, whose promotion was announced a few hours later.
Surendra
Rao, formerly India’s top electricity regulator, said the national grid had a
sophisticated system of circuit breakers that should have prevented such a
blackout. But he attributed this week’s problems to the bureaucrats who control
the system, saying that civil servants are beholden to elected state leaders
who demand that more power be diverted to their regions — even if doing so
threatens the stability of the national grid.
“The dispatchers at
both the state and the regional level should have cut off the customers who
were overdrawing, and they didn’t,” Mr. Rao said. “That has to be
investigated.”
India’s
power sector has long been considered a potentially crippling hindrance to the
country’s economic prospects. Part of the problem is access; more than 300
million people in India still have no electricity.
But India’s
power generation capacity also has not kept pace with growth; in March, for example,
demand outpaced supply by 10.2 percent, according to government statistics.
In recent
years, India’s government has set ambitious goals for expanding power
generation capacity, and while new plants have come online, many more have
faced delays, whether because of bureaucratic entanglements, environmental
concerns or other problems. India depends on coal for more than half of its
power generation, but production has barely increased, meaning that some power
plants are idled for lack of coal.
Many analysts
have long predicted that India’s populist politics were creating an untenable
situation in the power sector, because the government is selling electricity at
prices lower than the cost of generating it. India’s public distribution
utilities are now in deep debt, which makes it more difficult to encourage
investment in the power sector. Tuesday’s blackout struck some analysts as
evidence of a system in distress.
“It’s like a day of
reckoning coming nearer,” said Rajiv Kumar, secretary general of the Federation
of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry.
India’s
major business centers of Mumbai, Bangalore and Hyderabad were not affected by
the blackout, since they are in the southern and central parts of the country
that proved to be immune from the failure.
Phillip F.
Schewe, a specialist in electricity and author of the book “The Grid: A Journey
Through the Heart of Our Electrified World,” said the demand pressures on
India’s system could set off the sort of breakdown that occurred on Tuesday.
In cases
when demand outstrips the power supply, the system of circuit breakers must be
activated, often manually, to reduce some of the load in what are known as
rolling blackouts. But if workers cannot trip those breakers fast enough, Mr.
Schewe said a failure could cascade into a much larger blackout.
Some experts
attributed excessive demand in part to the lower levels of monsoon rains
falling on India this year, which has reduced the capacity of hydroelectric
power and forced many farmers to turn to electric pumps to draw water from
underground.
It was
unclear how long it would take to restore power fully in areas still lacking it
— or if the problem would recur later this week. In Lucknow, capital of India’s
most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, Dr. Sachendra Raj said his private hospital
was using two large, rented generators to maintain enough electricity for
air-conditioners and dialysis machines.
“It’s a very common
problem,” he said of power failures. “It’s part and parcel of our daily life.”
Meanwhile,
about 200 coal miners in the state of West Bengal were stranded for several
hours in underground mines when the electricity to the elevators was shut off,
according to reports in the Indian news media.
“We are waiting for
the restoration of power to bring them up through the lifts, but there is no
threat to their lives or any reason to panic,” said Nildari Roy, a senior
official at Eastern Coalfields Ltd., which operates the mine. By late evening,
most of the miners had been rescued, news agencies reported.
Ramachandra
Guha, an Indian historian, said that the blackout was only the latest evidence
of government dysfunction in India. On Monday, he noted, 32 people died in a
train fire in the state of Tamil Nadu — a reminder that the nation’s railway system,
like the electrical system, is underfinanced and in dire need of upgrading.
“India needs to stop
strutting on the world stage like it’s a great power,” Mr. Guha said, “and
focus on its deep problems within.”
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